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Getting Personal — Week of April 14, 2025

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Are you literate?

Essential Economics 

— Mark Frears

What's a checkbook? 

When I had my paper route back in the day, I needed a way to track the incoming and outgoing cashflows. There was no app for me to use! My father took me down to the local bank and opened up a checking account. He then proceeded to teach me about how to track the income and expenses, through deposits and check writing. These concepts and the money management tools that go along with them are sadly lacking in our country.

April is financial literacy month, and an Experian study found that 60% of adult Americans believe that their limited understanding of credit and personal finance has caused them to make financial mistakes. Let’s take a look at this vital area.

Basics

Financial literacy involves concepts like budgeting, managing credit/debt, saving and investing. If you can understand and manage these areas, you will be on your way to achieving a goal of financial freedom. Many people are just afraid of dealing with the issue of money: too many unknowns, too many pitfalls and hard to understand. I beg to differ. When my nephew started his first real job, he asked me what to know about finances. I told him the best place to start was to spend less than you make. Sounds simple, but that is the basic goal!

Budgeting

Let’s face it, people don’t like to live with a budget. So, let’s call it a spending plan. If you start with your financial goals, it can show you how a budget will help you achieve them. We offer an awesome finanical planning process as part of our Private Bank services.

The first thing you need to do when starting the budgeting process is to find out where your money goes. Sounds simple, but after you look back at where your money went and aggregate it in categories, you might be surprised. If you are overspending your income, or not able to meet your short- and long-term saving/investing goals, this is where you need to start. Whichever app, spreadsheet or bar napkin method you use, make sure it is one you will actually stick with.

Credit/Debt

In order to have a credit score, or be able to borrow for a house or car, you have to go into debt, to prove you can repay. This can be done slowly with a low balance credit card that you pay off monthly; then you can work your way up. The most important part of your credit score is paying your bills on time. Length of credit history, credit utilization ratio and debt-to-income ratios will also impact your score.

As you can see below, the amount of consumer debt continues to rise, so it is important to make sure you have the means to repay what you borrow. Again, common sense, but “wants” can start to push out “needs” if you are not careful.

Source: FRBNY Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax

Saving

This is the magic bullet to make your budget work. You might have your spending plan running great, feeling good about getting things on track, and then your car breaks down, rent goes up or a major appliance goes on the blink. If you don’t have some short-term savings set aside, you will have to borrow to take care of that expense. Start with a month’s worth of expenses and try to build this up to three to six months. Then, when those unforeseen things happen, you can handle them. 

Investing

Once you have the budget working, debt under control and savings in place, it is time to start putting money aside for short- and long-term goals. People often start saving for retirement first, especially if your employer has 401(k), with matching funds. Don’t turn down free money!

Retirement is a fine long-term goal, but there are many other reasons to invest. This should be in line with your financial goals, whether it is to be debt-free, give a certain percentage, pay for college tuition or travel with family. Once you have a plan in place, you can start to evaluate the time horizon of meeting your goals and the amount of risk you want to take.

This is the exciting part, as you now understand how all this works, and you are looking forward to achieving your financial goals.

Economic releases

Last week was still all about tariffs, yet key inflation metrics came in below expectations for March. Consumer sentiment is lower, but you need to dig deeper to see partisan participation impact.

This week’s calendar is quieter with housing and retail sales. Tariff headlines will continue to drive the markets along with UST volatility. Markets closed for Good Friday. See below for details.

Wrap-Up

When I budget coach with people, it might take them a few sessions to start to understand, but after that it is all about putting the plan to work and executing! Your financial goals will start to come into view, and the stress of the unknown will fade away.

 Upcoming Economic Releases:PeriodExpectedPrevious
14-AprNY Fed 1 Yr Inflation ExpectationsMar3.26%3.13%
     
15-AprEmpire ManufacturingApr(12.0)(20.0)
15-AprImport Price Index MoMMar0.0%0.4%
15-AprExport Price Index MoMMar0.0%0.1%
     
16-AprRetail Sales MoMMar1.4%0.2%
16-AprRetail Sales ex Autos MoMMar0.4%0.3%
16-AprNY Fed Services Business ActivityAprN/A(19.3)
16-AprIndustrial Production MoMMar0.4%0.3%
16-AprCapacity UtilizationMar78.0%78.2%
16-AprBusiness InventoriesFeb0.2%0.3%
16-AprNAHB Housing Market IndexApr3839
     
17-AprBuilding PermitsMar1,450,0001,459,000
17-AprBuilding Permits MoMMar-0.6%-1.0%
17-AprHousing StartsMar1,416,0001,501,000
17-AprHousing Starts MoMMar-5.7%11.2%
17-AprPhiladelphia Fed Business OutlookApr5.012.5
17-AprInitial Jobless Claims12-Apr225,000223,000
17-AprContinuing Claims5-Apr1,870,0001,850,000

Mark Frears is a Senior Investment Advisor, Managing Director, at Texas Capital Bank Private Wealth Advisors. He holds a Bachelor of Science from The University of Washington, and an MBA from University of Texas – Dallas.

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